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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Paperback

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Häftad,  Engelska, 2008-02-01
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A condensed guide to life from the bestselling author of The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Bed of Procrustes is an invaluable collection of aphorisms navigate the modern world

Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Only by accepting what we don't know, he shows, can we see the world as it really is.

'Happily provocative ... blistering ... his observations concern superiority, wealth, suckerdom, academia, modernity, technology and the all-purpose, ignorant "they" ... very quotable'
The New York Times

'A master philosopher'
The Times

'Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems'
Financial Times

'Opinionated and witty ... It showcases his wit and learning, and provides ways to fillet his enemies'
Independent on Sunday

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spends most of his time as a flneur, meditating in cafs across the planet. A former trader, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University. He is the author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, an international bestseller which has become an intellectual, social, and cultural touchstone.
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Recensioner i media

Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling Freakonomics An idiosyncratically brilliant new book Sunday Telegraph A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Guardian Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Financial Times Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot Sunday Times In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point Time

Övrig information

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. His last book, the bestseller Fooled by Randomness, has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York.


Chapter 1:The Apprenticeship of an Empirical Skeptic
Chapter 2:Yevgenia's Black Swan
Chapter 3:The Speculator and the Prostitute
Chapter 4:One Thousand and One Days,or How Not to Be a Sucker
Chapter 5:Confirmation Shmonfirmation
Chapter 6:The Narrative Fallacy
Chapter 7:Living in the Antechamber of Hope
Chapter 8:Giacomo Casanova's Unfailing Luck
Chapter 9:The Ludic Fallacy
Chapter10:The Scandal of Prediction
Chapter 11:How to look at Bird Poop
Chapter 12:Epistemocracy,a Dream
Chapter 13:Appelles the Painter
Chapter 14:From Mediocristan to Extremistan,and Back
Chapter 15:The Bell Curve,That Great Intellectual Fraud
Chapter 16:The Aesthetics of Randomness
Chapter 17:Locke's Madmen,or Bell Curves in the wrong Places
Chapter 18:The Uncertainty of the Phony
Chapter 19:Half and Half,or How to get Even with the Black Swan