Taking Chances (häftad)
Häftad (Paperback)
Antal sidor
New ed
OUP Oxford
206 x 131 x 20 mm
440 g
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Taking Chances

Winning with Probability

Häftad,  Engelska, 2003-05-01
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What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.
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Fler böcker av John Haigh

Recensioner i media

The Times Higher Education Supplement Review from previous edition 'the volume is ideally suited for readers with virtually no training in mathematics, but who are curious about how actually to assess the odds of things like winning a single game at lawn tennis or on which hands in poker one should raise . . . This is a book to ponder, savour, study - and give to your mathematically illiterate friends'

The Sunday Telegraph '(an) impressively comprehensive new book on the wonders of probability'

Övrig information

John Haigh is Reader in Statistics at the University of Sussex. His interest in probability was awakened by various card games, and he has made a particular study of lotteries, cards, and dice.


1. What is probability?; 2. Lotteries; 3. Football Pools, Premium Bonds; 4. One coin, many games; 5. Dice; 6. Games with few choices; 7. Waiting, waiting, waiting; 8. Let's play best of three; 9. TV games; 10. Casino games; 11. Bookies, the Tote, spread betting; 12. This sporting life; 13. Lucky for some--miscellenea; 14. Probability for lawyers; Appendix I: Counting; Appendix II: Probability; Appendix III: Averages and variability; Appendix IV: Goodness-of-fit tests; Appendix V: The Kelly strategy; Solutions to Test Yourself quizzes; Literature cited; Index