Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age (häftad)
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Format
Häftad (Paperback / softback)
Språk
Engelska
Antal sidor
184
Utgivningsdatum
1996-10-01
Förlag
The University Press of Kentucky
Medarbetare
Gray, Colin S. (foreword)
Illustrationer
black & white illustrations
Dimensioner
227 x 153 x 12 mm
Vikt
295 g
Antal komponenter
1
Komponenter
xiv, 168 p. ;
ISBN
9780813108957

Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age

av Keith B Payne
Häftad,  Engelska, 1996-10-01
487
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Keith Payne begins by asking, "Did we really learn how to deter predictably and reliably during the Cold War?" He answers cautiously in the negative, pointing out that we know only that our policies toward the Soviet Union did not fail. What we can be more certain of, in Payne's view, is that such policies will almost assuredly fail in the Second Nuclear Age -- a period in which direct nuclear threat between superpowers has been replaced by threats posed by regional "rogue" powers newly armed with chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons. The fundamental problem with deterrence theory is that is posits a rational -- hence predictable -- opponent. History frequently demonstrates the opposite. Payne argues that as the one remaining superpower, the United States needs to be more flexible in its approach to regional powers.
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"Perhaps the best critique of proliferation is to be found in Deterrence in the Second Nuclear Age, even though Keith Payne does not write directly about the subject. Payne argues that, in what he calls 'the second nuclear age, ' the character of deterrence has changed. More important still, he offers some tentative steps toward developing effective deterrence policies for this new era." -- Orbis "Masterful analysis." -- Airpower Journal "An excellent overview of the history and future of deterrence." -- Naval War College Review

Övrig information

Keith B. Payne, president of the National Institute for Public Policy, adjunct professor at Georgetown University, editor-in-chief of Comparative Strategy, and a member of the State Department's Defense Trade Advisory Group, is the author of seven previous books on international security issues.

Innehållsförteckning

Introduction New Environment, New Requirement The Valor of Ignorance Success, Motivation, Mistakes, and Uncertainty Reconsidering the Hubris of Past and Present Summary and Conclusion

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