From Theory to Practice
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Köp båda 2 för 909 krVincent A. W. J. Marchau (Radboud University (RU) Nijmegen School of Management) holds the chair on Uncertainty and Adaptivity of Societal Systems. The chair is supported by The Netherlands Study Centre for Technology Trends (STT). He received a Ph.D. from TU Delft in 2000 for his research on technology assessment of Automated Vehicle Guidance. Marchau is also Managing Director of the Dutch Research School for Transport, Infrastructure and Logistics (TRAIL), with 100 Ph.D. students and 50 staff members across 6 Dutch universities. His research focuses on long-term planning under uncertainty in transportation, logistics, spatial planning, energy, water, and security. He has been involved as a principal researcher within various national (e.g. NWO) and international (e.g. EU) projects regarding transport innovation assessment, long-term planning and decisionmaking under uncertainty in several domains. In addition to his professorship, Marchau is a member of the editorial board of EJTIR, IET-ITS, guest-editor of different scientific journals, and fellow of the KiM Netherlands Institute for Transport Policy Analysis (KiM). For several years, Marchau has worked closely with several societal partners, including: The Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management (organizing (a) courses for transport policymakers, and (b) projects on long-term planning); STT (on (a) foresight projects in the fields of e.g. transport, water, and energy, and (b) courses on decisionmaking under uncertainty); and the RAND Corporation/World Bank (organizing the annual workshop for decisionmaking under deep uncertainty for academics and practitioners). Warren E. Walker is an emeritus Professor of Policy Analysis in both the faculty of Technology, Policy and Management and the Aerospace faculty at Delft University of Technology. He has a Ph.D. in Operations Research from Cornell University, and more than 40 years of experience as an analyst and project leader at the RAND Corporation, applying quantitative analysis to public policy problems at the local, regional, national, and international levels. His recent research has focused on methods for dealing with deep uncertainty in making public policies (especially with respect to climate change), improving the freight transport system in the Netherlands, and the design of decision support systems for airport strategic planning. He has led several large policy studies for the Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, most of which have involved cost-effectiveness analyses of complex problems with multiple stakeholders in which a range of impacts of alternative policies are assessed and tradeoffs are made among the environmental, economic, and social impacts. He has been a special advisor to the Director for Freight Policy in the Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, and has carried out strategic planning studies for that Directorate. He wasa member of the Scientific Committee of a project for the European Commission that helped to design a European Transportation Information System (ETIS). He is the recipient of the 1997 Presidents Award from the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) for his "contributions to the welfare of society through quantitative analysis of governmental policy problems." Pieter Bloemen is the Chief Strategic Officer of the Dutch Delta Programme. He is responsible for the formulation of the core values of the Delta Programme, for the development and application of Adaptive Delta Management and of the Comparison Scheme that was used for the selection of the preferred regional strategies. He led the Strategic Environmental Assessment of the Deltadecisions and preferred regional strategies that are presented in Deltaprogramme 2015, and presently works on the development of a monitoring and evaluation system that matches the adaptive approach ofthe Delta Programme. Blo
Chapter 1. Introduction.- Chapter 2. Robust Decision Making (RDM).- Chapter 3. Dynamic Adaptive Planning (DAP).- Chapter 4. Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP).- Chapter 5. Info-Gap (IG) Decision Theory.- Chapter 6. Engineering Options Analysis (EOA).- Chapter 7. Robust Decision Making (RDM) Applications Water Planning and Climate Policy.- Chapter 8. Dynamic Adaptive Planning (DAP) The Case of Intelligent Speed Adaptation.- Chapter 9. Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways (DAPP): From Theory to Practice.- Chapter 10. Info-Gap (IG) Robust Design of a Mechanical Latch.- Chapter 11. Engineering Options Analysis (EOA) Applications.- Chapter 12. Decision Scaling (DS): Decision Support for Climate Change.- Chapter 13. A Conceptual Model of Planned Adaptation (PA).- Chapter 14. DMDU into Practice: Adaptive Delta Management in The Netherlands.- Chapter 15. Supporting DMDU: A Taxonomy of Approaches and Tools.- Chapter 16. Reflections: DMDU and Public Policy for Uncertain Times.- Chapter 17. Conclusions and Outlook.