Paul K Davis - Böcker

This is a paperback buy-in of a cloth edition originally published in 2001 by ABC-CLIO at $85.00. From Joshua's attack on Jericho in the fifteenth century B.C. to the Russian attack on the Chechan capital of Grozny at the end of the twentieth cent...

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"e;The personality of a general is indispensable,"e; Napoleon once said. "e;He is the head, he is the all, of an army."e; In Masters of the Battlefield, Paul K. Davis offers vivid portraits of fifteen legendary military leaders who...

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"e;The personality of a general is indispensable,"e; Napoleon once said. "e;He is the head, he is the all, of an army."e; In Masters of the Battlefield, Paul K. Davis offers vivid portraits of fifteen legendary military leaders who...

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DynaRank is a Microsoft Excel based program that allows detailed high-level evaluation of policy options. This report describes the development of DynaRank through a series of RAND policy studies, culminating in its application to the Quadrennial ...

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This study describes the motivation for multiresolution modeling within a single model or a family of models.

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This report describes principles and considerations for future analyses of effects-based operations.

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Provides a definition of capabilities-based planning, puts it in the larger context of defense activities generally, and sketches an analytic architecture for carrying it out. Capabilities-based planning has become a central theme of defense plann...

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It may not be possible to deter fanatical terrorists, but members of terrorist systems may be amenable to influence. The U.S. counterterrorism strategy should therefore include political warfare, placing at risk things the terrorists hold dear, a ...

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A metamodel approximates the behavior of a more complex model. A common and superficially attractive way to develop a metamodel is to generate large-model data and use off-the-shelf statistical methods without attempting to understand the model's ...

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This text contains examples of the use of multi-resolution, multi-perspective modelling (MRMPM) and exploratory analysis to validate models not based in settled theory or specific empirical testing. A model and its data may not be fully valid but ...

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Making future DoD models and simulations more composable; A discussion of actions the Department of Defense could take to improve the composability of its future models and simulations, i.e., the ability to select and assemble components in variou...

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Organizations varied in how they financed these efforts-some increased internal spending or reallocated resources-and in receipt of external funding.

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An overview of higher-level decision making and modern methods to improve decision support. A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on...

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This title extends research on model-based exploratory analysis for strategic planning with massive scenario generation (MSG), a technique that combines virtues of human-intensive and model-intensive exploration of the possibility space. Metrics a...

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This report describes an approach to high-level decision support that deals explicitly with uncertainty in effects-based operations or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Two approaches are described, one using ...

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An analytical framework and methodology for capability-area reviews is described, along with new tools to support capabilities analysis and strategic-level defense planning in the Defense Department and the Services. BCOT generates and screens pre...

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This book offers a description of a methodology and a prototype tool, Building Blocks To Composite Options Tool (BCOT), for identifying investment options for defense capability areas. It ensures that a broad range of options is considered initial...

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A debate will likely occur in 2009 about U.S. global national-security strategy. The authors describe and illustrate a methodology to help frame and evaluate resource-informed strategies. The core is an integrated portfolio-analysis approach that ...

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In a fluid global security environment such as ours, assessing the costs, risks, and likely consequences of alternative national defense strategies is as hard as it is essential. The authors show how, even in the face of uncertainty, the costs and...

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This monograph surveys and integrates scholarly social-science literature relevant to counterterrorism. It draws from numerous disciplines and then uses high-level conceptual models to pull the pieces together regarding root causes, individual rad...

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This report is a reference manual and user's guide for RAND's Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT), a spreadsheet-based software application for facilitating decisions dealing with uncertainty and different perspectives. PAT generates summary depictions ...

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Documents a phase-one effort to develop new methods to help ensure that warfighter needs are adequately represented as the Air Force manages its programs and budget. Drawing on previous RAND work on capabilities-based planning and portfolio manage...

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Deterring terrorism is best approached as part of a broad effort to influence all elements of a terrorist system, and simple, conceptual models of decisionmaking can help in understanding how to affect others1 behavior. The paper lays out a theory...

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U.S. defense planning is beset with technology-related problems for force projection, obsolescence of forces and concepts of operations, and the need for a new Asian-Pacific strategy. Finding the way ahead amidst fiscal constraints is challenging.

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Building on earlier RAND research that reviewed and integrated social science relevant to understanding terrorism and counterterrorism, this volume focuses on public support for both insurgency and terrorism and incorporates insights stimulated by...

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Reviews the scientific literature relating to observable behavioral indicators that might, along with other information, help detect potential violent attacks, such as those by suicide terrorists or the laying of improvised explosive devices.

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